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abdulhakeem
17-06-04, 01:50 PM
14:17 17 June 04
Shaoni Bhattacharya
NewScientist.com news service

Scientists may soon be able to calculate how long a woman has left before menopause, suggests a new study.

UK researchers have shown a strong link between the size of a woman's ovaries and the number of eggs she has left.

Hamish Wallace and Thomas Kelsey used this link to create a model that should be able to predict a woman's "reproductive age" to within one or two years using her chronological age and a measure of the size of her ovaries. Ovarian volume can be measured with a simple ultrasound technique that doctors already use to examine the organs.

"In essence, it means we now have the potential to be able to tell a woman how fast her biological clock is ticking and how much time she has before it will run down," says Wallace, at the Royal Hospital for Sick Children in Edinburgh, UK, and a lecturer at Edinburgh University.

"The accurate assessment of ovarian reserve will revolutionise the management of women requesting assisted conception, those who have had treatment for childhood cancer and those who are considering delaying a family for personal or professional reasons," suggest the pair.

Rapid fall-off

The conventional view is that women are born with a fixed number of eggs in their ovaries. Studies show that the number of eggs peaks when a female fetus is just five months old. After this, the number of eggs declines as they age and die by a process known as atresia.

When the number of eggs left reaches about 25,000 ? corresponding on average to the age of 37 ? there is a more rapid fall-off in their numbers. This key point usually precedes menopause by about 12 to 14 years. There are only about 1000 eggs left by the time a woman reaches menopause.

The average age of menopause is about 50 to 51, with 95 per cent of women reaching menopause between the ages of 42 and 58, says Kelsey, a mathematician at the University of St Andrews. But some women can experience menopause before this.

Reproductive age

Wallace and Kelsey used published data showed that the larger the ovary, the more eggs a woman has. The pair assume that the large difference in the ages at which women undergo the menopause results from the difference in how the number of eggs they had at birth.

They then modelled data from additional studies to produce a prediction chart. "We were trying to make the distinction between your chronological age and your reproductive age," Kelsey told New Scientist. "A 40-year-old woman could be anything between 32 and 48 ."

The size of a woman's ovaries can be measured by a commonly used technique called transvaginal ultrasound. "The big thing about this technique is that it is non-destructive and cheap and widely available," Kelsey points out. "It's practical."

Kelsey says they are "optimistic" about developing the model as a prediction tool, but notes that more tests are needed to validate the accuracy of the method.

[I]Journal reference: Human Reproduction (vol 19, p 1613)

http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99996029

abdulhakeem
17-06-04, 02:12 PM
Scientists reveal test to predict fertility

Sarah Boseley, health editor
Thursday June 17, 2004
The Guardian

Women may soon be able to find out how long their reproductive life will last, allowing them to plan their families before the biological clock stops ticking, scientists claim today.

The menopause kicks in around the age of 50 for most women, but for some it is a lot earlier, particularly if they have undergone treatment for cancer in childhood or early adulthood. The precise timing depends on the number of egg-producing follicles that remain in the ovaries.

Scientists report today that they have worked out a way of establishing how many eggs remain by measuring the ovaries with the same sort of simple ultrasound scan that is used to observe a baby in the womb. A mathematical and computer analysis can then predict how many more fertile years the woman has left.

"In essence, it means we now have the potential to be able to tell a woman how fast her biological clock is ticking and how much time she has before it will run down," said Dr Hamish Wallace, consultant paediatric oncologist at the Royal Hospital for Sick Children in Edinburgh, and lead author of a paper published today in the journal Human Reproduction.

The technique could help women who have had cancer treatment, which can damage the ovaries and reduce the number of egg follicles. It could also help women "who are considering delaying starting a family for personal or professional reasons", the study says.

In the long-term, the scientists envisage that the test may be available to any woman who feels the need to know how many years of fertility she has left in order to try to plan her life and maybe organise a career break to have children. Many women with engrossing or well-paid full-time professional jobs do not consider getting pregnant until their late 30s. Those destined for an early menopause may be leaving it dangerously late.

"Ultrasound is an ideal method, because it is safe, non-destructive and relatively cheap," said Tom Kelsey of Edinburgh University's school of computer science, who did the mathematical modelling. "The technology already exists and is readily available all over the western world. It is possible that this service can be made available at GP surgeries or at fertility clinics, and would be a likely first step in the family planning scenario."

For women with careers, the test will enable them to work out how soon they need to begin thinking about trying to start a family.

If they are likely to hit the menopause early, say at 40, they will need to consider becoming pregnant 10 years earlier than their peers - perhaps by 27 rather than by 37.

Although the menopause marks the end of fertility, it has already seriously deteriorated for the previous 12 or 14 years. Producing eggs does not guarantee a pregnancy for women in their 40s. Some suffer one miscarriage after another because the fertilised egg does not implant in the womb.

A woman is born with all the eggs she will ever have: the five-month old female foetus has some five million, which decline in number even before she leaves the womb.

By the age of around 37, a woman has about 25,000, and the reduction in eggs then accelerates until she has only 1,000 or so, and the menopause begins.

The ovaries shrink as the number of eggs diminishes. This has allowed the Edinburgh scientists to make their calculations of the number of eggs remaining from the size of the ovaries.

The calculations work on the assumption that the time of onset of the menopause depends on the widely varying number of eggs a woman has at birth.

The Teenage Cancer Trust welcomed the research yesterday. "It will be of great benefit to these survivors to assess the extent of the damage to their fertility caused by their treatment and will allow them the opportunity to know whether they can realistically start planning a family," said a statement.

But it made the point that two-thirds of young people today do not get any fertility counselling before they start their drug treatment.

The Edinburgh researchers are also setting up studies with young, healthy women, to measure their ovaries and calculate the egg loss until menopause. When these trials are finished, they hope the test will become more generally available.

"The possibility of providing a direct and easily reproducible assessment of ovarian reserve and reproductive age through the transvaginal measurement of ovarian volume for all interested women would be a real advance," said Dr Wallace. "It opens the door to the possibility of screening women for early ovarian ageing. These women may be at increased risk to their general health from the effects of having an early menopause."

http://www.guardian.co.uk/medicine/story/0,11381,1240537,00.html